It becomes ever clearer to me that most Americans believe that because in their own country the body politic accepts the outcome of elections conducted with a modicum of fairness, that this must be true in all the rest of the world.
They are mistaken in this. In many places in the world, peoples’ primary self identification has little to do with the idea of citizenship in a particular state and much more to do with ethnicity, religion as sect, actual tribes or regional interests. This is so of Iraq. Elections conducted in Iraq with the idea that people really believe in the idea of "one man, one vote" merely enable the most numerous identity groups to "put paid" to the less numerous. That is what is happening in Iraq between majority Shia and the minority Sunni. The Sunni Arabs know this and will continue to fight to prevent it.
"Civil War? Iraq has been engaged in civil war among its primary identity groups since the End of the Coalition Provisional Authority’s catastrophic reign. The CPA’s projection of the Bush Administration’s policy of putting the Shia Arabs in charge of Iraq doomed Iraq to civil war.
Elections (democracy) and political correctness are the modern civil and secular religions of America. Americans believe that elections are in themselves transformative and beneficial, and that a government fairly elected is necessarily a good thing.
This is not the case. The historical example of the rise of National Socialism to power in Germany and Fascism to power in Italy should indicate the patent falseness of such an idea. Elections reveal what is in the hearts of men. They do not change those hearts. The Shia and Kurd majority in Iraq show little sign of giving the Sunni Arabs enough power to lure them from support of the insurgents.
There are predictions on TV today of how well things will go in Iraq this year. They will not go well unless there is a change in the hearts of men.