"Indeed, Hamas’s victory has set off a debate whether the administration was so wedded to its belief in democracy that it could not see the dangers of holding elections in regions where Islamist groups were strong and democratic institutions weak.
"There is a lot of blame to go around," said Martin Indyk, a top Middle East negotiator in the Clinton administration, referring to Mahmoud Abbas, the Palestinian president, and his Fatah party. "But on the American side, the conceptual failure that contributed to disaster was the president’s belief that democracy and elections solve everything."
Ms. Rice pointed out that the election results surprised just about everyone. "I don’t know anyone who wasn’t caught off guard by Hamas’s strong showing," she said.." NY Times
I know that I am nobody but I think a cursory glance over postings related to this topic will show a certain apprehension that Hamas was going to do well, very well. Starting back at least as far as "Something Wicked This Way Comes" I believe you can discern in my scribblings the pattern of what happened in Palestine.
Why did the federal government not foresee this event? It is because the political echelon of government has walled itself off from dissenting views of reality and spends its time in mutual intellectual masturbation and assurance.
The intelligence people? They were made into moral eunuchs years ago and now are too involved in the intricacies of the "kowtow" to say anything distracting and awkward.
I have been rebuked in the past for my lack of faith in the efficacy of the "reforms" carried out in the intelligence community in the last few years. I will say again that real intelligence reform is a matter of the spirit not of bureaucracy.