“The new intelligence finding estimates that the Russians are planning to deploy an estimated 175,000 troops and almost half of them are already deployed along various points near Ukraine’s border, according to a Biden administration official who spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss the finding.
It comes as Russia has picked up its demands on Biden to guarantee that Ukraine will not be allowed to join the NATO alliance.
The official added that the plans call for the movement of 100 Russian battalion tactical groups along with armor, artillery and equipment.
Intelligence officials also have seen an uptick in Russian propaganda efforts through the use of proxies and media outlets to denigrate Ukraine and NATO ahead of a potential invasion, the official said.
Asked about the intelligence finding as he set out for the presidential retreat at Camp David on Friday evening, Biden reiterated his concerns about Russian provocations.
“We’ve been aware of Russia’s actions for a long time and my expectation is we’re gonna have a long discussion with Putin,” Biden said.
Russia has dismissed the reports, accusing Washington of trying to aggravate the situation while blaming Moscow, the Kommersant newspaper said on Saturday, citing the Foreign Ministry.” Newsmax
Comment: There is a great deal of “maybe,” “potentially,” “possibly” etc. in these press reports and evidently in the underlying estimate. From that I deduce that DIA or whomever wrote the estimate does not have actual evidence of Russian intentions. Some people extrapolate from the combat intelligence aphorism that capabilities should be considered and not intentions to believe the same is true at the strategic level. This is a grave error.
The phenomenon of the “leak” of that estimate to the Washington Post has all the symptoms of a controlled release either from the Defense Department or the WH itself. Why would they do that? The DoD may think that State or CIA is not taking its opinion on this seriously. Why Biden’s WH clowns do anything is just a mystery.
IMO Putin is very concerned that Ukraine might be admitted to NATO and wants a guarantee that this will not happen. pl
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