Listening to the discussion in the Fox News Sunday panel today it was clear that General John Abizeid is going to be scapegoated for failure and embarrassment in Iraq. Casey was probably also a candidate for the "honor" but he seems to have jumped on the "surger" bandwagon quickly enough to save himself. Lieutenant General Ray Odierno, the corps commander in Iraq is said to be "on board" as well, but, then he has a track record from his previous service in Iraq. He likes force, massive force and lots of it. If you doubt that, read about him in Tom Ricks’ book, "Fiasco."
"Security" is clearly going to be the theme of the "surger" campaign in 2007. "Security" achieved by attempting to destroy the Sunni insurgents in the Baghdad region will be the goal. The "surgers" believe that when that happens, the government of Iraq will become viable and the Shia will disband their militias from a lack of need. There appears to be a small area of disagreement among the "surgers" as to whether or not it will be necessary along the way to forcibly disarm the Mahdi Army, but time will tell.
It has become an article of faith amongst the faithful to believe that Syria is somehow, magically, sustaining the Sunni insurgencies in Iraq and that removal of the Assad government will cause the insurgents to disappear, more withering away. To that end the removal of that government will remain at the top of the Bush Administration’s program.
Iran, ah, yes….
The Miami Herald has printed a new version of the piece I wrote with Ray McGovern a few days ago.