"Then there is the possibility that federal authorities would use force to suppress secession or that violence would spontaneously erupt. Missouri, a closely divided state featuring bloody guerrilla warfare, was an outlier in 1860. If the country splits and things turn violent today, there will be many Missouris. Moreover, in most of the country, the barbarity of the Civil War was mitigated by the predominant use of regular armies following the laws of war, and by the common moral and religious underpinnings of the combatants. A modern version would look more like Bosnia than Gettysburg.
If we were lucky, things would not devolve into open war. But terrible consequences would still follow. There would be millions of refugees flowing in both directions, though more out of the blue zones, which will be afflicted by Portland-style disorder or insufferable progressive power unconstrained by the Bill of Rights. Continental commerce would be interrupted and basic security endangered.
The west coast would reach for international allies, and we might eventually find Chinese troops on North American soil. All of the reasons for union recited in Federalist #1-10 would come back to haunt us. And there would be other difficult issues to resolve, such as how to divide the national debt and the nation’s nuclear arsenal." Andrew Busch
"No one wanted war, but war came."
TTG thinks (or hopes) that war will not come. I am not so sure.
Where I sit in Alexandria, I see the ties that bind in; culture, sentiment, shared history and societal goals being systematically dismantled by a majority population of newcomers and minorities.
The same thing is happening all down the I-95 corridor all the way to Richmond where the dismantling is proceeding rapidly.
This is occurring without regard to the opinions and wishes of the rest of the state. "And here's to brave Virginia, the Old Dominion state…" No more. No more.
This pattern of potential division is repeated on a grand scale across the country. We are a federal republic and by that very structure we are built for dissolution as a united country. The UK can split along national lines; England, Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland, but the United States is made up of 50 potential countries. Or, perhaps more if other states divide internally as Virginia might.
If such a process of dissolution began, how would the forces of order fare? The National Guard? The Regular forces? The police? If you think you know the answer to that question, you probably do not. pl