1. The Desert Hawks Brigade has been withdrawn to its base area in Lattakia Province. IMO this is for R&R, re-fit with new Russian equipment and to receive replacements who have been in training under Russian supervision. Their future commitments are unknown as yet.
2. SAA 4th Division has been withdrawn to its base in the Damascus area. IMO this is for the same set of reasons as in the case of the Desert Hawks. If memory serves this division was original made up of units from the "Defense Companies" (saraya difaa') They are almost all Alawis and well trained. They are reported to be going to the SW after re-fit, but we will see.
3. The armor heavy mobile force spearheaded by the Tiger Forces are on the way SE from the Rasafa area (map). If I were Suheil Basha (humorous historical reference) I would take the line of advance: al qawm oasis – al tayyibiya – al-khawalliya to emerge onto the M 20 Highway well east of al sukhna. This would IMO collapse the IS front at Sukhna as the rats try to escape to the east. pl