A wise man advised me this week to conintue listening to the TV Sunday newsies no matter how boring or irritating they may be. I agree.
In carrying out that mission this week I fastened upon two points:
– The Shia politicians and militias are not stupid enough to want to "party" with the US Army in Baghdad. They are all going to "lie low" and wait for us to "let up" in our usual display of limited attention span. This will lead to a short term (four or five months?) appearance of "progress" in Baghdad. That will not last indefinitely, but, in the short term, will be hailed by the Bush Administration as proof that they are going to "win." An alternative scenario will feature massive US pressure against the Shia militias of a nature that Maliki can not endure. That scenario will witness a quicker disintegration of the present "plan."
– Grorge Casey should not be confirmed by the senate to be Chief of Staff of the army. Such a confirmation will confirm to the generals and would be generals that it is OK to mislead the Congress of the United States, whitewash the situation to visitors and propagandize the American people on behalf of a political faction’s policy. What about the civilians? Right, but, I believe that soldiers are called to higher standards. Sorry. pl