US politics. I am more convinced than ever that HC will be president. IMO the NY Times estimate of an 80% chance of that happening is "on the money" unless there is a much larger hidden pro-Trump, pro-Republican vote than anyone in the media believes. I think there is such a vote but doubt that it will be big enough to carry the day for him. The consequences of her election will be fell indeed. IMO she will follow a reckless path toward the ideal future she desires. I doubt that the Republicans will lose control of the House of Representatives and their possession of many state governments will be obstacles to her desires. The use of Executive Orders is likely to be frequent. The police powers of the federal government will be to be heavily used.
US foreign policy. IMO she is going to be frustrated in her desire to make all the world's children (populations and governments alike) behave as she thinks they should. she understands very little of the nuts and bolts of military affairs and imagines that symbolic uses of military forces will result in compliance with her desired result. This will be reflected in things like declarations of "safe zones" in hostile territory without regard to the cost in blood and treasure.
Turkey, Russia and the US. So far, Turkey appears to be a "top" in this three sided game of international affairs. the Turks are not subtle. The sainted occupant of the caliphal throne in Ankara succeeded in bullying the EU into giving him six billion Golden Greckels (euros for you Germans), and now has brought Obama/Biden/Kerry to heel in the matter of our wayward support of Syrian Kurds. "All the world wondered." I will not comment further on the tactical situation east of Aleppo City. TTG does a great job on that. But…. It does surely seem to be the case that the US is now Erdogan's bitch.
Syria tactical. The recent negotiated surrender of rebel forces near Damascus and the progress made in recapturing East Ghouta are very helpful to R+6. About 3,000 soldiers will be freed up for movement north to the Aleppo City battle. IMO unicorn/jihadi losses in the Aleppo battle have been severe and the reinforcements coming from the south will contribute to an even higher body count inflicted on the rebels. The break in the R+6 siege lines around East Aleppo has not been useful as a supply route because it is covered by fire. IMO that will continue to be the case and the starving will continue there. I would wager that there are few live dogs or cats in the rebel occupied area. Will Turkey attempt to intervene directly in the Aleppo battle? I doubt it.
Syria diplomacy. The Obamanite fantasists still seem to believe that the Russians can be talked into abandoning their Syrian allies. pl