"Thousands of U.S. combat troops will remain at a handful of bases in Baghdad and on the outskirts of other restive cities, such as Mosul and Kirkuk, in northern Iraq, past the June 30 deadline. But U.S. troops say their ability to respond quickly to thwart attacks could erode significantly because Iraqi officials will have unprecedented authority over their mobility and missions in urban areas.
"We won't be providing the same level of security for ourselves and Iraqis," said 2nd Lt. Jason Henke, a military police platoon leader who will remain at one of the few inner-city bases in Baghdad. "With only a small window of time that we are allowed to operate in, it's going to be easier to target U.S. forces when we are outside the wire."
Henke's concerns were heightened this week by a string of powerful roadside bombings near his base, Joint Security Station Loyalty, in central Baghdad.
On Tuesday, one of his squadrons was attacked with an armor-piercing bomb that struck the passenger side of a mine-resistant armored vehicle, igniting the fuel line. His platoon lost another truck Thursday in a similar attack." Washpost
The most important component of the policy package shorthanded as "The Surge" was not the increased US combat presence, however helpful that was. The most important thing was the successful effort to woo Sunni insurgents away from active or tacit support of the takfiri jihadis and into the "friendly" category. We did that, and well. They were not wholeheartedly converted "born again" friends of Brother Dave Petraeus? What a surprise! We used money to bring them to our side? How terrible! Does that mean that their hearts were not pure!! Ah, the world is a sad place and this kind of work is always like herding cats.
Now the Americans are clearly leaving. Power is steadily shifting towards the Shia dominated government that the Americans created. That Shia government does not seem inclined to honor the variety of overt and implied "promises" that the Americans made to the "Sons of Iraq," etc. The government's actions toward their Sunni "brothers" surely indicate that this is true.
In that situation it is to be expected that Sunni Arab hostility to the takfiri jihadis will wane and it is waning. That is why it is possible for there to be more and more suicide bombings. Get the message?
There are two ways to avoid further difficulty – 1. The government should understand that bloody minded oppression of the Sunni Arabs will mean unending low level warfare in Iraq, and 2. Someone should keep paying off the Sunnis sub rosa. pl