"Let me give you a couple of numbers. In 2008 the Republicans turned out a total of 20,799,209 in 45 Primaries. In 2016 (and I only have numbers for 40 of the 45 Primaries), the Republicans have 27,204,900. Before the night is over the Republicans will have more than 30 million votes.
The Democrats, by contrast, had 36,919,660 votes for their candidates in the 2008 battle that featured Obama and Clinton. The 2016 numbers fell off a cliff. Through 40 contests the Democrats only have 23,799,193. The Democrats will be lucky to reach 30 million when the night is over.
So, do you think a move with the Republicans increasing voter turnout by almost 12 million and the Democrats shrinking by about 7 million is meaningless?" Larry Johnson
IMO there are two ways to look at the US political situation as of 8 June, 2016:
1. The numbers cited above by Larry Johnson are pretty clear and the pattern persists. IMO the growth in Republican primary voters is largely the result of an electorate in rebellion against the establishment parties. basically, these numbers are the result of shrinkage in the US employment rate and the resulting loss of income for both blue collar working class people and recent university graduates who are heavily burdened with loan debt and unable to find employment commensurate with their newly acquired skills. The former group heavily supports Trump and is largely indifferent to the memetic attacks on Trump that are now non-stop in the Borgist media. This group is likely to continue to support Trump. The unhappy college kids have largely supported Sanders but now have been frustrated in their hopes. Where will this group go? Who knows? This over all situation would seem to favor Trump.
2. OTOH there is Trump himself, a man seemingly devoted to the task pf shooting himself in the foot every day. Will he learn to discipline himself? That might happen but I would not bet on it.
If Trump does not clean up his act and quickly he will become a massive liability that threatens GOP control of the US Senate and its present dominant position in state governments.
If that happens the GOP establishment will have no choice but to find some way to dump him so that it can try to save its larger interests. I have heard a rules change at the convention discussed today, a change that might ensure a second ballot with a lot of freed delegates. pl