What’s next?

… in Ukraine’s bag of tricks? pl

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18 Responses to What’s next?

  1. Fourth and Long says:

    One of Tamerlane’s many tricks. Famously set giraffes on fire in order to panic the war elephants which were used in a nearly successful attack on his armies in northern India. It worked, he routed his opponents. Was included as a detail in one of Salvador Dali’s surrealist paintings.

    • Barbara Ann says:

      F&L

      Several of Dali’s paintings featured flaming giraffes. Two were painted in 1937 during the Spanish Civil War. Apparently he used it as a motif indicating a premonition of war – accurately as it turns out. I’ve always wondered if the brief burning ‘horse’ scene in the movie Avatar was a homage to Dali.

      • Fourth and Long says:

        In further breaking news:

        Alleged attacker of Paul Pelosi to press: “Oh dear, I forgot to leave behind the vial labeled “Novichek,” will you be able to report its presence at the crime scene anyway? Thanks so much.”

  2. cobo says:

    Kind of sticking it out here, but Ukrainian takeover of the Kakhovka dam and subsequent opening of the flood gates to flood the east bank of the Dnieper -? Assuming it can be emptied enough – or possibly blowing it. That would allow them to demoralize the Russian forces in Kherson and pin them against the river.

  3. JamesT says:

    I thought the Russians had fancy EMP warheads they could use to fry electronics – if this was true I would expect them to hit some Ukrainian datacenters. The IP protocol (that the internet runs on top of) is famously robust but I would expect that servers in Ukraine are probably concentrated in maybe 12 datacenters or so. I would have thought that the Russians would have gone after those.

    • borko says:

      JamesT

      Why use fancy EMPs when you can just cut the electricity off ?

      • JamesT says:

        borko

        My understanding is that the damage created by EMPs is permanent – the damaged equipment needs to get replaced.

        • JamesT says:

          Which means that it probably makes more sense to just blow up the building. Datacenters are supposed to be temperature controlled and dust is not at all good for the servers.

  4. Leith says:

    1] A Manoeuvre sur les derrières around Svatove deep into northern Luhansk Oblast?
    2] Hit the Iranian Shahed-136 launch sites in Crimea? Use the commercial off the shelf Ali Baba drones that the Ukrainians modified to be kamikaze UAVs. Put a little fear of God into the IRGC launch crews.
    3] Target a Kilo Class sub? They may have tried already. The Russians are claiming that during the 29 October USV/UAV raid a floating boom was damaged in Yuzhnaya Bay. That bay is where the submarine berths are located.

  5. Lars says:

    Hand out cigarettes to workers in the Russian munitions plants?

    • d74 says:

      The best proposal.

      When nothing works, there is smoke (fags with narcotics…) and neglect.
      But on second thought: no, bad trick. Lung cancer is too often fatal and always painful.

  6. Sam says:

    “The Russians thought that we would never be able in their lives to pass through this way,” a Ukrainian reconnaissance commander said. “They said it was unbreakable. But God decided differently.”

    https://twitter.com/nytimesworld/status/1587451933584916482?s=21

    All said and done the “super power” class Russian military has not been able to suppress the Ukrainian army nor erode their morale. What does it say about the state of the Russian armed forces and why did so many in the West believe that the Russian military could effect regime change in Kyiv?

  7. Sam says:

    The dissection of the war with the (paradoxical) Logic of Strategy : because NATO was weak Russia attacked; because Russia attacked, NATO became strong. Putin run straight into the paradox once the careful poker player became a gambler

    https://twitter.com/eluttwak/status/1587450238037823488?s=21

    It appears the military annexation of Crimea and the non-response by the West and even admiration from Trump, enabled Putin’s misjudgment of the invasion of Ukraine.

    Now he’s too committed militarily to just withdraw and cut his losses without losing face. His legacy is shot. I don’t see how he recovers from this debacle.

  8. KjHeart says:

    well… Ukraine is asking for more ‘buco bucks’ from the USA – they must be spending it on something?

  9. borko says:

    Putin likes to take traditional Epiphany dip in an icy lake. I don’t know if it is the same lake every time but a timely and well placed submersible drone would make Ukrainians very happy and Russians very angry. Maybe too angry.

  10. Matthew says:

    Maybe Keeev could actually be honest about their enormous casualty numbers. That would be a miracle.

  11. Al says:

    Forbes reporting that 500 miles from Ukraine border saboteurs hit a Russian airfield damaging/destroying 4 Ka-52 attack helicopters. A video is shown of a saboteur attaching bomb with MD-5M detonator and a delayed fuse.

    Russia has lost 1/4th of their 100 KA-52 copters. Replacing/repairing these will be difficult due to tech sanctions.

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