“GOP Congressional Lead Grows to 9 Points”

Faces in the new GOP

“The 2022 midterm elections are now 151 days away, and Republicans have a nine-point lead in their bid to recapture control of Congress.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that, if the elections for Congress were held today, 48% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for the Republican candidate, while 39% would vote for the Democrat. Just four percent (4%) would vote for some other candidate, but another nine percent (9%) are not sure. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Republicans have gained one point since last week, when they led 48%-40%. The GOP has led the Generic Congressional Ballot all year.”

Generic Congressional Ballot – Rasmussen Reports®

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14 Responses to “GOP Congressional Lead Grows to 9 Points”

  1. Al says:

    Could well be a Republican Congress ahead. Rasmussen, though, has been thumb heavy on the polling scale for Republicans.

    • Pat Lang says:

      Not really. Their polls have shown Biden higher numbers than most polls.

      • Al says:

        Most, if not all polling, is conducted with underlaying agendas or points of view. Amazing how often they are close to the horse shoe stake, still.

        Regarding Rasmussen, this might be well taken into account:
        From Atlantic Monthly, “… Scott Rasmussen no longer works for the polling company that he founded, Rasmussen Reports said in a statement on Thursday. No longer content with putting out polls that critics like Nate Silver have analyzed as consistently right-leaning, Scott Rasmussen will move into Republican punditry at his new Rasmussen Media Group. That means that the man whose polls were once used to support conservative punditry will now do the punditry himself .
        … Rasmussen has long claimed to be an independent. But he wrote a book on self-governance, popular among conservatives, and was a guest on a cruise sponsored by The National Review. In 2010, Jonathan Chait called Rasmussen “a right-wing celebrity” in The New Republic. FiveThirtyEight blogger and statistics star Nate Silver found Rasmussen’s polls erred in favor of Republicans both in 2010 and in the presidential election of 2012. Getting a different result than everybody else doesn’t necessarily mean a pollster is wrong. But in 2012, Silver found Rasmussen was the third-least accurate of the 23 polls examined…”

        BTWSilver’s 538 does not do polling directly, but takes the major polls, weights these based on past performance, then combines in composite format. Even then can be significantly off the reality.

    • Bill Roche says:

      I’m sure we’ve all heard the saying “figures don’t lie, but liars figure”. The only valid poll are the results after the election. Nowadays even that is suspect. I think there is an unquantified, bias by respondents. Some don’t want to outright say “yes, throw those buggers out”. So answers are more restrained. But in the privacy of the polling booth (remember those drawn curtains) the voter votes their heart. I can recall sitting on a plane in late Dec. ’76 and reading Newsweek. It rejoiced in the death of the GOP, and the unneccessity of an opposing political party. Times change and yet remain the same. I am rooting for a change in the House and Senate making impossible any more shennanigans by the communists until the ’24 Presidential race. My choice for Trump’s running mate is a former Congresswomen from Hawaii. My my, how I have changed.

      • scott s. says:

        Well, her replacement decided it was too hard to live in DC, but thanks to house rules he can do all his votes by proxy. Now he thinks he should be governor. He is the first congressman not from Oahu, and we’ll have to see how that plays out this Aug (primary). Her father (elected to state senate as an R, immediately switched to D) will be defending his seat. The only R in the senate is unopposed, so you can figure out how much of a threat he is considered to the ruling class. Likewise in our house 2 of 4 current Rs are leaving and the remaining 2 are unopposed.

      • Muralidhar Rao says:

        All this is possible if we don’t have dominion machines. Like Stalin once said “It doesn’t matter how you vote, it does matter who is counting”. What I really don’t understand is with the population so addicted to instant this and that why do we tolerate the electronic machines that takes some times weeks to announce the winner. In the past with the manual paper ballots and counting we almost always had the results in 24 hours, just like the French Presidential elections recently. I still don’t see any body questioning the wisdom of the hackable machines. Thanks

      • Quartered Safe Out Here says:

        That former Congresswoman rom Hawaii has been popping up all over Fox News as an analyst or panel member for the past month. Is there a possible coronation brewing?

  2. Deap says:

    75% of Democrats still approve of Biden, according to a recent poll. 99.99% of them vote.

    Turnout cannot falter for the GOP – there may be reserve psychology going on in these “media” reports, hoping GOP will become too complacent.

    Democrats have the means and motivation to compel voting and are very happy to use ballot tracking systems to make sure every member of their rank and file turn in their ballots.

    GOP has no equivalent command and control system. Of course, Democrats will try to encourage GOP complacency by any means necessary.

  3. Powderfinger1 says:

    The polls can say whatever they want. The only thing that is relevant is the legitimacy and accuracy of the election. The leftists know they can’t win a fair election on ideas. So they will do whatever is required to make the election unfair and guarantee a victory. The right should be doing everything in their power to prevent this, now, before the election. Once the election has taken place it’s too late. This is why the right needs to stop trying to overturn the 2020 election. It’s too late. What’s done is done. The only thing that does matter is ensuring the 2022 and 2024 elections are not compromised.

  4. Fred says:

    A generic congressional poll may show the mood, but congressional districts are where actual polling that matters needs to be done. The fact that 30+ democrats and a few RINOs have already announced retirements is a far better tell than a poll. Don’t worry though, the guy who cowered in his basement while gaining more ballots than any president ever has already arraigned federalizing mail in balloting.

  5. TV says:

    The “stupid party” (AKA the Republicans) will continue to find a way to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory and the swamp rolls on.

    • Bill Roche says:

      TV, you don’t understand who/what the GOPe is. They are neither stupid nor frightened. It’s worse. They don’t care. They are a political party w/o ideology and have been since 1948. Research Dewey and the “boys of ’48”. You’ll find a Bush, Eisenhower, Dewey, Romney, Nixon, Ford, Rockefeller. These were career pols. They acknowledged they could not beat the FDR socialists so they opted to win seats as “moderates” (that was Rockefellers pet term). The Libertarian/Conservative coalition (think Coolidge, Taft/Hoover) was turned out in ’48 and replaced by pros. All this talk of fools and cowards misses the point. Since 1948 the landscape has been socialists who wish to destroy America and professional pols who just want a piece of the action. Trump is another in a line of Don Quioxte characters who is trying to undue ’48. The entire RINO party must defeat him. He is the danger not the socialists.

      • Al says:

        Kinda ironic that the USA economy since WWII/FDR has consistently done better under those “ultra-socialist” Democratic Party administrations than the”moderate socialist” Republicans!

        That’s sure some wacko “destruction” to consider!

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