I want to make it clear that although my analytic judgment tells me that the Dems are going to ride the women's vote to a clean sweep I am desperately hoping for the opposite result. SWMBO tells me that she will vote for Trump and so will I. pl
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Same here. We’re voting for Trump also.
Now a quick question, in your analytic judgment did you factor in the silent majority? From what I can see, the silent majority ice berg ‘under the water’ is far larger this time, than it was back in 2016. I hope it causes the Biden-Harris agenda a titanic moment of monumental proportions. That’s my hope anyway.
Colonel, for what it is worth. I think there is more to this than the women’s vote. Yesterday my wife and I held our noses and sent in our mail in ballots for Biden. We are on the left side of the political spectrum and normally consider the Democrats to be nothing but corporate tools. We both voted for Biden and Harris even though neither of us like either of them. We simply do not want to listen to Trump for another four years. His personality is awful. When he won the election, we did not like it, but we thought it would be okay. We did not count on his constant tweets and noise.
I know how you feel about him, but (policies aside), I think you have to take into account his destructive and very noisy personality when evaluating the coming election possibilities.
Regards,
David
For people that I can influence, I remind them to vote with their wallets in mind.
I can imagine a lot of women’s minds were changed after seeing Harris in action, Pence is much more presidential and folks realize we may see a VP who might be a president in the near future.
I think Pelosi knows they will lose. I sure hope so.
Is this election to be decided by the Attorney General?:
‘To be honest, Bill Barr’s gonna go down either as the greatest attorney general in the history of the country or he’s gonna go down as a very sad, sad situation. I mean, I’ll be honest with you. He’s got all the information he needs. They wanna get more, more, more, they keep getting more, I say: “You don’t need any more. You got more stuff than anybody’s ever had.” President Trump last night.
Col.,
The fear parade from the left looks like it is building again; on top of the much hyped OMB and Covid is the fear of ostracization from one’s peers amongst the Instagram set. God forbid they stand up as individual adults, which is why the ritual submission of the mask to show conformity, virtue, and simultaneously erase one’s idividual identity.
To me it looks like America’s innate cultural inclinations are rejecting the subjugation and Biden’s support is thinner than the paper mask he wears. The oligarch elite have certainly gone all-in on Biden as a last desperate act to ensure their hold on power; If the fear mongering were to let up for even a day to many will ask why we get poorer while thier class gets richer and more powerful and less accountable every day. They certainly don’t want that discussion.
People don’t vote for Trump because he’s a nice guy, just the opposite. As they say in the software world: it’s a feature not a bug. Most people realize Washington DC is infested with career ideologues and they don’t like it. His election was an effort to throw sand in their gears. Win, loose, or draw his job is to slow them down. I’d call is first term a draw, but he fought, so he will be reelected.
Apparently Pelosi is so confident of a Biden victory that she is preparing the mechanisms to remove him after the election.
There are far more important issues than personality or gender at stake with this election. Plenty of women support Trump. We don’t like the Democrat plantation of lies and pandering that require submission to their corrupt party platform.
Any “women” who claim they support the Democrat plantation are nurse union member and teachers union members – and they are in it for themselves and taxpayer cash as union members first; and not any claim for “women’s issues”. Whatever they are – special treatment? Give me a free and robust economy, less government micromanaging and women can do just fine.
Democrats treat women like helpless children- their exact same pattern with any minority group. No thank you.
Same Colonel, same. If I recall correctly you didn’t vote for the man the last time around. So hopefully there are many more like you in this country.
2 sides of the same coin… both parties are essentially the war party with full support for wall st, mil and the oil industry to continue on as it has the past however many years…
All
Pelosi seems certifiable. Her bill would require Trump to sign it before a commission on presidential suitability could be formed. is she afraid that the Dems are going to lose?
I’m continually puzzled as to what rationale would lead someone to vote for Trump or – at this point – the vast majority of Republicans.
The democrats will likely sweep, and then, sadly, we will likely have an object lesson as to why the republican party exists at all: they’re performance by any objective measure, even given the structural disenfranchisement of so many voters, should have resulted in the GOP’s destruction/reformation long ago.
At the end of the day, even compared to the aforementioned skew of elections, the republican’s prime advantage in maintaining their grip on power remains…the democrats.
Deap
Are you either a woman or a minority?
David
You know how I feel about Trump? Really? I will vote for him but it is not a matter of feelings. He is merely the lesser of two weevils. His personality is a triviality. Remember why you voted over the next years. Remember.
@ David | 09 October 2020 at 10:39 AM
click on caps…… POLITIKASTHENIA
David’s Biden vote illustrates the shallow voting bloc which is very large.
Trump is a “meanie” and “not nice”
Hell of a reason on which to base your vote.
They want “mommy” government and “daddy” President
With all due respect Colonel, I hope that your analytic judgment is absolutely accurate come November 3.
I do not like the colour revs that an immoral fraction of the US Establishment is doing elsewhere, neither I do like the colour revolution being done in the US.
Best of luck to you and to Trump.
Colonel, I fear I misspoke. I am relatively sure that you do not like Trump’s delivery anymore than I do, but you do like a good number pf his policies and do not like Biden’s. I did not really do a good job of posting my objection to Trump. To be clearer, I meant to say that if it were not for Trump’s constant noise and tweets, I would have voted for the Green Party (as I have done ever since I cast a dreadful vote for Bill Clinton in his first election). I think I am not alone in just wanting quiet. I think Trump’s tweets and constant chatter hurt his own cause and that of his supporters. We shall see.
I dealt with the initial shock one gets from listening to Trump for the first time during the Republican primaries before his first term. I come from a Calvinistic religious background. His lifestyle before he ran for office really bothered me. I just knew women would be “turned off” by him.)
However, we were attending several weekly precinct meetings before the primary that would choose our county’s Republican nominee for President. We had all listened to the debates. I really liked Cruz.
The comments from the men in our precinct caused me to rethink Trump’s personality. None of the men were worried about his many scandalous affairs or about how he spoke. They just counted that behavior as “some men are just that way.” Then they gave the reason they were voting for him: his grasp of our free market capitalist economy. Several were small business owners. They made some clear arguments that our country needed someone who would fight for a capitalist system and were worried even then about a slide into a more socialist system.
That argument won me over. I’ve mentioned often of my immigrant Great Grandparents and Grandparents whose farms had made Russia the bread basket of the world for a while. They had later been confiscated by the Bolsheviks in Russia and turned first into an experiment in “factory farming” that failed and then they were turned into an experiment in “communal farms,” which also failed miserably and led to famines–especially the Holodomor famine. (I had actually studied that in my Government class in high school. I had heard my older relatives saying the word “Bolshevik” with disgust. I had a Great Aunt living in Siberia, where they sent her when they took her family’s farm.
I quickly realized that I didn’t care about the personality of a candidate but did care about his or her (I had briefly thought of Carly Fiorina) grasp of a capitalist economy and its importance in keeping our country OUR country.
I learned to ignore Trump’s personality. I just pictured him the way Charles Dickens might have thought of him if Dickens were still alive.
I voted for him in the primaries and then in the election. (Colorado is a caucus state.) I have never felt sorry. I ignore his personality–though now I think of him as I feel Dickens would have characterized him–and I understand completely why many of the people who attend his rallies chant “We love you!”
I’ve had the advantage that many of the people on this blog do not have: the advantage of never having been in the DC Swamp in either the military or the government. Though my father, some uncles, my brother and several cousins, my classmates, and my son have served, they were all enlisted (or in my day, drafted).
I am part of the middle class and proud of it. Trump really does understand the importance of the middle class, having employed so many people from the middle class.
I will most definitely vote for him when my ballot comes and take it to a secure lock box in our Town Hall four blocks away.
When he is elected–which I hope will be by a big margin–our next great concern will be to return our education system to what it was at one time when I first began teaching: a great system for all classes and all skin colors. We really must discourage the communist/socialist takeover of our education system. We have young people who are brainwashed and stupid, but we are going to need that generation to keep our country our country after we pass away as the “leaves of grass” that we are. That is why we must also allow and encourage “schools of choice.”
If you have to fear anything, what you need to fear and fight against is the takeover of the education system. In the colleges and community colleges, that socialist philosophy has turned out the rioters and plunderers destroying businesses and government property all over this country. A Biden (Obama) presidency will end our country.
(When working during the primary between Obama and Hillary for the Democratic Party earlier, when I was then a registered Democrat, I worked for Hillary. (I know–very stupid of me) we actually got a new participant. He was a young man who had been volunteering for Obama. He had found a paper left accidentally by a leader that actually called the volunteers “useful idiots.” (You may recognize that term from Marx’s Communist Manifesto.) He was so appalled that he switched parties. That is a reason I can not now or ever vote for anyone who associated with Obama and other Saul Alinsky students.
(Colonel Lang, you asked us to respond. I hope you are not sorry
Col. Lang,
While I will not be voting for either of the two “lesser weevils”, not that my vote matters in my state which reliably votes for one side, as I noted in an earlier thread, my analysis of the tea leaves is that Trump will be re-elected, the GOP retain the majority in the Senate with fewer seats and the Democrats will retain the majority in the House, again with a smaller majority.
The presidential contest is centered in the upper mid-west mostly – Wisconsin, Minnesota, Michigan and then the key state of Pennsylvania. One factor that most analysts don’t mention much is new voter registration. They are all squarely focused on the manipulated polls and voter segmentation sentiment. However, party new voter registration has historically been quite good in terms of predictive value. The GOP has a small advantage in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin in this election cycle on this measure. Since, these states are won by a small margin of votes, of course turnout for each side is a huge factor but new voter registration typically leads to many of these voters actually casting ballots.
IMO, nothing much is going to change in the next 4 years of the Trump presidency in terms of the economic squeeze on the working class as market concentration will continue to grow. Trump like his predecessors will not be enforcing anti-trust and anti-competitive rules. We’ll continue to get the best government big money can buy. Much of the second $1.8 trillion stimulus with borrowed money will flow to the oligarchs.
blue peacock
“Much of the second $1.8 trillion stimulus with borrowed money will flow to the oligarchs.” I lack your pessimism and I do not want to live in a Marxist state.
david
“I think I am not alone in just wanting quiet.” I think that is not a good enough reason for voting for the death of the republic.
Well Colonel, a tiny sliver of silver lining.
When it comes to SHMBO in the Outsider household, she wouldn’t have Trump at any price were she your side of the Atlantic. But we’ve watched the two debates in full and now she won’t have Biden/Harris at any price either.
They are a most unappealing couple. Best thing the Democrats could do would be to keep those two under wraps for the next month.
I hope your man’s fit enough to stand the pace of an American election. He ought in any case to keep some strength in reserve for his second term.
I didn’t vote for Trump in 16. I was much more in the orbit of conventional political thinking at the time. You know, thinking what the TeeVee told me to think. After watching the MSM shed it’s supposed neutrality and go all apeshit resistance, I started listening to Trump without the media filter. I see why he is off-putting to “moderates”, but we need a bastard with balls of brass right now. And an outsider. I consider Biden Harris a vote for russiagate, insurrection and war. Trump has my vote and luckily I live in a state where it matters, Florida. Vote like the Republic is at stake, because it most assuredly is.
Colonel, if it’s any consolation, you should be aware that the NBC/WSJ poll the MSM were all aflutter about last weekend was a junk poll. Whenever possible, I always check the methodology of a poll I’m interested in. Methodology is often unavailable however, and even when it is, it can be difficult to truly decipher the sampling breakdown by partisanship. I imagine this could be for proprietary reasons but also perhaps to obscure bias.
Anyway, the NBC/WSJ poll, which showed Biden ahead by 14% included 12% more Democrats/lean Democrat vs Republicans/lean Republican. It was also a sample of 800 registered, not likely voters. It has a margin of error of +-3.46%
Just 2 days earlier, IBD/TIPP (which enjoys a MUCH more successful track record) released a poll of 1221 registered voters (including 1021 likely voters), with Democrats a slightly larger percentage of the sample than Republicans. Biden came out ahead at 3%, with a margin of error of +-3.5% for the likely voters.
SO, take heart — it seems to me the race is pretty much a dead heat at this point. If the perceived increase in black and Latino support for Trump is true, there’s more reason to be optimistic. I’m a pessimist by nature, and my instinct is to count on and prepare for the worst. But I can’t let my mind settle on the likelihood of a Biden victory. I’ve generally been a teatotaler in my adult years, yet one of the COVID hobbies I’ve taken up recently is mixology (my husband didn’t like hearing me practice the recorder). Preparing cocktails may come in handy if I’m wrong. My favorite so far is G.B.S. (no, not George Bernard Shaw) – a Gin Basil Smash. Love the herbal taste and scent!!!
The black vote is being underestimated and that is the Democrat’s lifeline. My wife of 18 years (who is black and has been a life-long Democrat because that’s what she was “taught” to be growing up) finally had an epiphany with the deception/pandering of the BLM movement and also realizing she’s been duped by a party that does nothing but push identity politics, socialism, and have done nothing for the black community other than insulting their intelligence. She has a large family and you’d be surprised how many of them are voting Republican for the first time – many of them female. Black conservatism is more prevalent than what the media wants you to think and we live in the Southern U.S.
A good and timely read: the anti-Trump ” Operation Demoralize” is right on schedule. https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2020/10/shy_trump_voters_or_fed_up_trump_voters.html
In the past few days, lots of people have felt it – the relentless gloom and doom anti-Trump headlines belie the actual desperation Democrats are really feeling – case in point – using the 25th Amendment to get rid of someone instead of a duly scheduled election in a few more weeks.
Democrats willingness to pack the Supreme Court after they get Congress and the Whitehouse back after 2021, means even if Trump can appoint Barrett it is no skin on their noses – so why the rush to take Trump down with a 25th Amendment ruse?s
We are not “voting for Trump” this time; we are voting for four more years exposing and draining the swamp.
And four more years of conservative, non activist judicial appointments. And four more years building the border wall. And four more years of positive international re-alignments. And four more years of domestic economic repair. And four more years rebalancing ideological diversity in government service and academia.
And four more years to reach a coherent medical and social security program. And four more years to clean up mis-managed Democrat cities and states who are destroying their own residents in favor of Democrat self interests.
I did not vote for Trump in 2016. I hated Trump in 2016. But I have seen what he has accomplished, despite being the very strange public personality we have now all gotten to know and even grow weary listening too. Yet, we have only just begun to clean up the mess Democrats keep handing us. MAGA 2021.
Trump – promises made – promises kept. Trump has earned a second term.
Colonel, All,
This may be of interest…..
https://www.zerohedge.com/political/poll-which-correctly-called-2016-election-sees-another-shocking-outcome-november
It was autumn in Cockaigne,
and we were weary.
After four years of a Bull of the Woods,
We chose the Quiet Man.
And we hoped there would be peace.
That first speech of the spring
on the situation at Big Rock Candy Mountain–
the riots and those burning empty box cars,
even the cigarette trees!
He nailed it, we thought.
But then we noticed after the first hopeful tele-gruppen,
Word was getting around, regardless.
Even old Skeebo wobbled. The tweet to Poteet. “But I don’ see no phosphorous yet.” Got him banned for real.
Too often he was giving those helping hands, which he sometimes resisted.
We didn’t know how startling the white breasts of a Justice could be.
After that we didn’t see him for a long time.
We became used to that.
But not to the words. Teleprompted, teleported,
Ghost written, of course,
For a man it slowly dawned on us
more broken than we can imagine men can be
And still be men and not ghosts.
Apologies to Henri Coulette. From “The War of the Secret Agents and other poems.” (1968)
Where is Tyler? I wonder what his prediction would be.
Ishmael Zechariah
Sir,
I am a white, Christian, suburban woman (US Army Vet), in AZ and I can tell you, my family and I are voting for President Trump.
The MSM is gaslighting everyone. I refuse to entertain their psychological warfare on us. And YES, I believe this is psychological warfare.
I have my theories on why they are doing this, who they truly are and what lengths they will go to.
Thank you for your service to this Country
Sincerely,
The Saintlover
FWIW, here in OH we have had three canvassers for Trump at our door in the last month. The latest one (today) was a young black man. No Biden canvassers.
He has a significant ground game going nationwide. There is no enthusiasm for Biden.
Wife and I will both be voting for the Donald, as will our kids.
BTW, the women’s vote is not monolithic. The further one gets from the cities here in OH, the more independent the thought becomes.
Agrarian folk take pride in their ability to form their own opinions. Life is a struggle for many out here; folks work hard to provide and they take pride in their independence.
Our county seat of 17000 has more churches than bars. We have some Amish and Mennonite in the county.
Add it all up and yes, our women-folk don’t much care for his personality, but approve of his policies.
He should carry Ohio again.
BTW, the women’s vote is not monolithic. The further one gets from the cities here in OH, the more independent the thought becomes.
Agrarian folk take pride in their ability to form their own opinions. Life is a struggle for many out here; folks work hard to provide and they take pride in their independence.
Our county seat of 17000 has more churches than bars. We have some Amish and Mennonite in the county.
Add it all up and yes, our women-folk don’t much care for his personality, but approve of his policies.
He should carry Ohio again.
BTW, the women’s vote is not monolithic. The further one gets from the cities here in OH, the more independent the thought becomes.
Agrarian folk take pride in their ability to form their own opinions. Life is a struggle for many out here; folks work hard to provide and they take pride in their independence.
Our county seat of 17000 has more churches than bars. We have some Amish and Mennonite in the county.
Add it all up and yes, our women-folk don’t much care for his personality, but approve of his policies.
He should carry Ohio again.
BTW, the women’s vote is not monolithic. The further one gets from the cities here in OH, the more independent the thought becomes.
Agrarian folk take pride in their ability to form their own opinions. Life is a struggle for many out here; folks work hard to provide and they take pride in their independence.
Our county seat of 17000 has more churches than bars. We have some Amish and Mennonite in the county.
Add it all up and yes, our women-folk don’t much care for his personality, but approve of his policies.
He should carry Ohio again.
Bill Wade
When I see indictments then I will believe that AG Barr is something more than an empty suit. He keeps talking the talk and promising to punish the lawbreakers, but my impression is that he is just another cog in the Washington machine that intends to drag it out until Biden wins, at which point the malefactors walk away scott free.
If Trump wins, which I fervently hope he does and which I think he might, Barr will have to find another way to bury the scandal, but bury it her will.
@David
Try seeing the Trump administrations as the years that cracked the foundation of the pro-war (etc) Establishment whose disruption could result in pragmatic opportunities for reform.
Voting Green this election may not be a bad move.
Will Trump’s next four years really even strengthen the GOP? After Trump there will be a vacuum which the Greens would seem well-positioned to exploit, counting on a fractured DNC and also a split GOP.
“The enemy of my enemy is my friend.”
Perhaps in politics worthy of special consideration.
Sir:
There is ample evidence that President Trump is way ahead of former Obama Vice President Joe Biden.
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2020/10/omg-no-one-showing-biden-harris-events-no-one-watching-online-biden-harris-3-president-trumps-online-viewership/
Many who support Trump speak of putting on the full armor of God:
https://www.biblegateway.com/passage/?search=Ephesians%206:10-18&version=NIV
“In addition to all this, take up the shield of faith, with which you can extinguish all the flaming arrows of the evil one.”
God bless you, sir.
Colonel, the assessment from my expert in women’s opinions states that after Harris’s debate performance she will be seen as untrustworthy by women.
Why ? As an everyday workplace co-worker, Harris would be seen as the type who would constantly crawl/wriggle to the boss, as a school social science teacher she would be anything other than objective, and as a neighbor she would be distraction to one’s husband. As for Joe (remember him), I doubt that ‘child minding at Joe’s’ would be feasible.
‘Dislike’ would be the word. I don’t intend to argue.
The lesser of two evils ? Trump seems to have more of the quality of ‘character’ than the other two.
Michael Moore accurately predicted 2016 and also the reasons why Trump won. He’s a bright guy and a good indicator, and in his current social media he is almost frantic in his appeals for Democrat votes.
However, I suspect this will come down to who will best manage the chaos of a close contested result over the course of some weeks.
I’m a Canadian living the past 26 years in Oz. The noise I hear isn’t Trump. It’s the low independence-low truth-low intellect-high hysteria media reporting Trump.
David, impressionable, timid David; look at what the man achieved rather than the reported clamour about him! Where now is the atom booming doom song of NK? How about NATO preaching less and paying more? How about unemployment at record lows? (at least prior to the Chinese virus) How about reduced regulation, easier business start-up, freedom causing fracking, cancelling of divisive pseudo-psych indoctrinations and many more nation building accomplishments. How about the now revealed dirty little plots, lies and intrigues, the unbounded hyperbole, the goose-step-like groupthink?
And in the face of a high intensity, sleet-stinging blizzard of near unanimous opposition of rent seekers, deep staters and associated camp followers, you proclaim that you are indeed tired of winning and cast your vote for democrats, because it’s all so confusing and rude? Wow! And I thought, (and think) my CBC-countrymen and their ABC- Ozzie counterparts contemptable and suggestible pussies!
45+ years ago I paid for my engineering degree by working with men much ruder than Trump, and I learned and have continued learning a lot from such.
Finally, to the honestly esteemed Colonel: I understand your summary, and I think you’ve stated it as briefly as possible. I hope you’re wrong in your analysis and right in your voting judgement and please realize, that there are many, many Canadians and Australians who fervently agree.
Trump has 2 more years. After the 2022 mid-term he’ll be a lame duck and none of the Republicans will back him in any serious way.
In his current term, the DC insider status quo steamrolled him on the pivotal issue of Drain the Swamp and the structural issue of the Big Money-Big Government complex. Many of those who support him, have excused his inability to nail the coup plotters as him lacking any agency. The DC insider caucus remains as strong as ever.
Wouldn’t they reassert their absolute supremacy in 2 years in any case? What do the Trump supporters think he’ll accomplish as far as Drain the Swamp is concerned in his next 2 years that he didn’t make a dent on in the past 4 years?
Biden gets my vote. As my SD farmer brother who was hurt by his China trade war said, “He lies and cheats at golf. What more do you need to know.”
Eurpidies, the founding generation and real conseravtices would all point to the hysterical behavior of American women them these past four years and remind us that the direct election of senators and the 19th Amendment were both bad ideas.
California is ready for change – watch Joe Collins take on Maxine Waters – in her own district, but also from her own home outside of her district: 44 years of failed Democrat representation in this California district: https://dailycaller.com/2020/10/10/navy-veteran-joe-collins-mansion-maxine-waters-campaign-ad/
Is the worm turning and sending the deep state packing? Even in California, they are finally speaking truth to power. Young black conservatives are HOT!
Vegetius
About the 19-th Amendment to the United States Constitution:
I once read a comment, attributed to an older Southern lady, who opposed voting rights for women. She felt that women should not interest themselves in politics and leave it for men; ” so that men have something to occupy them.”
The other thing is that at the time of its passage, women married much younger now and bore children earlier: a 20-year old woman with 4 children was not uncommon: they were more mature, I should think, and earlier.
In regards to direct elections, the Israelis made the choice of prime minister dependent on the popular vote, making governments unstable and giving power to fringe parties.
Harris donated money to bail out the arsonists and rioters destroying Minneapolis. It is safe to assume that people do not send money to causes they oppose. I have not heard Harris express any sympathy for the victims of this violence. In fact, she threatened the continuation of this when she appeared on Colbert. I have no choice other than to take her at her word and to let her actions speak for themselves.
I believe that Trump is among the worst presidents this country has had. I am still voting for him because, as bad as he is, it is clear to me where he stands on the rioting, against it.
There is a reason why some Spanish speaking immigrants refer to “Que Mala” Harris. If you see the United States as a beacon of safety and opportunity, you are naturally suspicious of someone who desires to destroy that. As an American, I am in agreement with this stand. Harris is unacceptable.
It looks like Ohio may be in play. Or, alternately, some substantial wave of voters not reflected in the polls will show up, ‘unannounced’ as it were. The city/rural divide is obvious from the lawn signs and mask compliance!
One thing I’m sure about is: if every legal vote is counted, whatever the result is, won’t look like the 77,000 swing state vote victory of 2016. Politico has a nifty tool the obsessed can use to fiddle with demographics and turnout. https://cookpolitical.com/swingometer
I’m somewhat confident neither party will attempt to end the constitutional order, although the GOP being the party of active voter suppression and bogus claims of fraud are not good looks.
Trump’s psychiatric profile, and negative ‘public health’ record, and trillion dollar gifts to the globalists, to me seems obvious enough, yet it doesn’t figure into my non-decision. I’m a democrat.
akaPatience: This may not please you, but you referred above to the IDB/TIPP poll, which you rightfully praise as a very good poll, just came out with its latest tracking poll, with polling from October 8 through October 11.
It has Biden up by +9 or +10. Only 851 likely voters, however.
Sorry for the typo. I meant IBD/TIPP, not IDB/TIPP.
Deap: With all due respect, Joe Collins may have a problem getting any traction against Maxine Waters, despite the fact that he has raised a lot of money, and is spending large sums on attack ads.
Apparently, Mr. Collins sued Ms. Waters for defamation on October 4, 2020, after she pointed out in an advertisement that he had been dishonorably discharged from the Navy. Unfortunately for Mr. Collins, it appears, from his own admissions in a prior case, that he was dishonorably discharged from the Navy.
The prior case was brought by Mr. Collins against the Navy in the Southern District of California, Case No. 17-cv-2451. The number 17 stands for the year of filing. In that case, he sued for, in addition to $100,000,000, an order compelling the Navy to reverse his dishonorable discharge and grant him an honorable discharge.
The Navy moved to dismiss the action for lack of jurisdiction on the grounds that Mr. Collins had filed the case in the District Court in the Southern District of California, rather than bringing it in the Court of Federal Claims, which had sole jurisdiction. Upon realizing his error, Mr. Collins moved for a change of venue.
On August 8, 2018, the District Court granted the Navy’s motion to dismiss for lack of jurisdiction, and denied Mr. Collins motion for change of venue. The Court dismissed the case without prejudice and also without leave to amend.
Assuming that the facts as stated in the Court decision are correct, then Mr. Collins was dishonorably discharged and Ms. Waters, in her advertisement, told the truth which is a pretty good defense to an action for defamation. Bringing a false claim for defamation could also lead to an action by Ms. Waters for malicious prosecution, the best evidence of which would be the District Court opinion from the Southern District Court of California.
The Court opinion in 17-cv-2451 can be found here:
https://casetext.com/case/collins-v-us-navy-1
In all fairness, Mr. Collins might have been able to get his dishonorable discharge converted to honorable, but I have not found as yet any reputable indication that he has done so.