“The Myth of a Majority-Minority America” Richard Alba et al

“The narrative that nonwhite people will soon outnumber white people is not only divisive, but also false.

In recent years, demographers and pundits have latched on to the idea that, within a generation, the United States will inevitably become a majority-minority nation, with nonwhite people outnumbering white people. In the minds of many Americans, this ethno-racial transition betokens political, cultural, and social upheaval, because a white majority has dominated the nation since its founding. But our research on immigration, public opinion, and racial demography reveals something quite different: By softening and blurring racial and ethnic lines, diversity is bringing Americans together more than it is tearing the country apart.

The majority-minority narrative contributes to our national polarization. Its depiction of a society fractured in two, with one side rising while the other subsides, is inherently divisive because it implies winners and losers. It has bolstered white anxiety and resentment of supposedly ascendant minority groups, and has turned people against democratic institutions that many conservative white Americans and politicians consider complicit in illegitimate minority empowerment. At the extreme, it nurtures conspiratorial beliefs in a racist “replacement” theory, which holds that elites are working to replace white people with minority immigrants in a “stolen America.””

Comment: If you look around you will see that the USA is becoming a beige colored country and even as that process proceeds, the rates of intermarriage, mixed housing and and general mixing are rising steadily. That is a good thing. pl


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22 Responses to “The Myth of a Majority-Minority America” Richard Alba et al

  1. blue peacock says:

    “If you look around you will see that the USA is becoming a beige colored country and even as that process proceeds, the rates of intermarriage, mixed housing and and general mixing are rising steadily. That is a good thing. pl”

    Spot on Col. I see it all around me. More integrated neighborhoods, more interracial families. We’ve come a long way from Loving vs Virginia. Even liberal Bill Maher gets it.


    There’s a hugely vocal minority that is the vanguard of wokeism. They also happen to be white. Wokeism is being pushed as a tool to consolidate power and prevent providing any platform for dissent. It is part and parcel of an attempt to create a groupthink orthodoxy.

    Why is this largely white, politically powerful group attacking their own ethnic group to silence their political opponents? Why are they pushing for more racial discrimination, segregation and identification when America is slowly but surely becoming more color blind? Where do they think this leads to? It would appear that this would be a perfect campaign by America’s adversaries to destroy it from the inside since they can’t attack and succeed in a direct military confrontation.

  2. Pato from NJ says:

    If you look around you will see that the USA is becoming a beige colored country and even as that process proceeds, the rates of intermarriage, mixed housing and and general mixing are rising steadily. That is a good thing.

    Ok, I can go along with this. But repopulating of the U.S. with underclass from the Third World— which is what’s going on now— will not be good for the U.S. I know people who work for USCIS who previously worked for NGO’s in Central America assisting peasants in getting fully-subsidized immigration into the U.S. and applying for U.S. government benefits. This is while they were living Guatemala City.

  3. Deap says:

    California is no longer an Anglo-majority state. Largest group today are hispanics, close to being over 50% if this has not happened already.

    However, all “minority” protections for hispanics remain firmly in place. No “minority” preferences are available for Anglos even though they are now clearly a minority; just not aa legally mandated “protected minority”.

    Most operations everywhere are bi-lingual Spanish-English. It was a novelty at first, now it is a entry level job requirement so guess who gets hired and guess who gets a pass due to lack of necessary qualifications.

    Right now the minority status demographic stakes are shared with anglos, asians and blacks. It happened very quickly – 5-6 birth rates for Hispanics, and declining birth rates for everyone else.

    What has this “latinization” brought to California governance? The same as what you see in any third world nation many have emerged from: raid the treasury and hire the relatives.

  4. longarch says:

    I don’t believe in “whiteness” as a physical reality because Irish used to be “nonwhite” and Irish people are notably pale-skinned.


    I think “white” is a label invented by rich people in the 1700s to keep the Irish serfs from fraternizing with the black chattel slaves. I am open to scholarly correction from experts — and I know I am not an expert compared to many of the readers of this board.

    All that being said, I think the linked article is missing the point. The article claims:

    Speculating about whether America will have a white majority by the mid-21st century makes little sense, because the social meanings of white and nonwhite are rapidly shifting.

    If “white” is just a subjective perception, then we can all agree that Snoop Dogg is white, and he will be “white” so far as we can tell. That does not change genetics. Terms like “white” or “East Asian” are social constructions. Terms like “haplogroup” or “autosomal recessive genetic disorder” are not just social constructions. The entire nation of Israel could accept Snoop Dogg as Israeli, but Snoop Dogg will not become vulnerable to Tay-Sachs, because genes don’t care about our subjective feelings and socially constructed narratives.

    America can always call itself “majority white” if America changes the definition of “white” to mean something different every year. I don’t object to demographic change — because demographic change is much bigger than I am, and it will happen as it pleases regardless of whether I object. But I do object to unscientific and unscholarly distortions of terminology. If particular genetic groups are going to fail to reproduce, let us document that fact objectively. Probably America will be wonderful when it is a beige country, but let us not deceive ourselves. Let us be honest and admit that beige is not the same thing as white.

    The article says:

    the United States will inevitably become a majority-minority nation, with nonwhite people outnumbering white people. In the minds of many Americans, this ethno-racial transition betokens political, cultural, and social upheaval,

    The demographic transition has already been causing upheaval for years. The upheaval has been real and continues to be real. Some people have been winners and others have been losers. Let us not pretend that everybody will be a winner and the future beige America will be a utopia.

    • Poul says:


      You’re in that “white” is a subjective view.

      Read Benjamin Franklin’s definition. It seems very strange now a days and so may the present day definition of white seem to future generations in a couple of hundreds years.


      “Which leads me to add one Remark: That the Number of purely white People in the World is proportionably very small. All Africa is black or tawny. Asia chiefly tawny. America (exclusive of the new Comers) wholly so. And in Europe, the Spaniards, Italians, French, Russians and Swedes, are generally of what we call a swarthy Complexion; as are the Germans also, the Saxons only excepted, who with the English, make the principal Body of White People on the Face of the Earth. I could wish their Numbers were increased. And while we are, as I may call it, Scouring our Planet, by clearing America of Woods, and so making this Side of our Globe reflect a brighter Light to the Eyes of Inhabitants in Mars or Venus, why should we in the Sight of Superior Beings, darken its People? why increase the Sons of Africa, by Planting them in America, where we have so fair an Opportunity, by excluding all Blacks and Tawneys, of increasing the lovely White and Red? But perhaps I am partial to the Complexion of my Country, for such Kind of Partiality is natural to Mankind.”

  5. p s c says:

    Wrong. Nobody voted for this. Beige Americans receive affirmative action. Barak Obama and a recent Salvadoran emigree both are eligible for affirmative action.
    Their ancestors did not pick tobacco or cotton in America prior to 1865.
    Obamas children or a Salvadoran immigrant’s children should not be treated better than my children, just because they are brown.
    My family has bled for America in wars since 1918. Recent brown arrivals deserve Zero.

  6. Deap says:

    Amy Chua (Tiger Mom) researched qualities that concentrate in some ethnic groups that account for their relative success, regardless of external factors or numbers.

    She called this the Triple Threat and it was primarily a strong sense of self-worth that simply came with the territory. And persistence when faced with problem solving. Not a victim in the whole lot, though all coming from a wide ranges of socio-economic levels and education.

    She found the Triple Threat qualities present in Jews, Nigerians, Chinese…. and a few others. Can’t remember all the details. But mainly the conclusion from her research, while at Yale I believe, was it was not color or racial by any means, but a deep confidence supported by culture that formed these successful common personality denominators.

    • Deap says:

      Correction. Ms Chua called this uniquely successful collection of personal traits and value systems “The Triple Package” – and found these three cultural qualities present among the following ethnic/national/religious groups:
      Cuban exiles

  7. John Merryman. says:

    Considering the power of the church in minority and immigrant communities, they are also quite conservative.
    As for sexual dysfunction or ambiguity, trying to make it a political issue opens a large can of worms, given it goes deeper than the difference between flora and fauna.
    I suspect this movement will prove to be a fire that will rage out of control of those presuming to use it.

  8. Bill H. says:

    ” If you look around you will see that the USA is becoming a beige colored country… That is a good thing. pl”

    I would tend to agree, but whether it is a good thing or a bad thing is immaterial. The question is whether or not it is a thing that can be used for political advantage or as a political cudgel.

  9. Anon says:

    “That is a good thing.”

    Why is that, Mr. Lang?

    And is it a comprehensive “good,” or are there any downsides?

    • Pat Lang says:


      Demographic change is inevitable. It has given a hybrid vigor to our country. The trick is to do as good a job of assimilation as our ancestors did in forming an evolving culture.

      • Deap says:

        We assimilated basically European origin cultures; not ones outside of our shared Western History heritage and Judeo-Christian value systems. Legal immigration processes and granting legal status to former slaves increases their investment in integration.

        Now millions living in the shadows after illegal immigration, staying within their own language groups, while being taught to hate America and its history was never part of earlier immigration waves.

        This sudden influx at this particular time in the fully developed contemporary hate America culture is a new one for us. Best exemplified by the defiant Squad. And the decline and fall of the state of California.

      • Anon says:

        Can you clarify what you mean by “inevitable?”

        Foreign-born immigration has caused the U.S. population to continue an already rapid increase across the 20th Century, with the foreign-born population doubling from almost 20 million in 1990 to over 45 million in 2015, representing one-third of the population increase.

        The U.S. population grew by 1.6 million from 2018 to 2019, with 38% of growth from immigration. Population growth is fastest among minorities as a whole, and according to the Census Bureau’s estimation for 2020, 50% of U.S. children under the age of 18 are members of ethnic minority groups.

        In 1900, when the U.S. population was 76 million, there were 66.8 million White Americans in the United States, representing 88% of the total population, 8.8 million Black Americans, with about 90% of them still living in Southern states, and slightly more than 500,000 Hispanics. Non-Hispanic whites comprised almost 97% of the population of the 10 largest U.S. cities.

        A century later, the Census Bureau reported that minorities (including Hispanic whites) made up 50.4% of the children born in the U.S. between July 2010 and July 2011, compared to 37% in 1990.

        Following passage of the Immigration and Nationality Act of 1965, the number of first-generation immigrants living in the United States has increased, from 9.6 million in 1970 to about 38 million in 2007. Around a million people legally immigrated to the United States per year in the 1990s, up from 250,000 per year in the 1950s.

        This seems more a result of policy rather than an inevitable organic process of demographic change. And ow exactly do you view this development as envigorating our country, what with every rational measure of national vigor at a nadir?

      • longarch says:

        The trick is to do as good a job of assimilation as our ancestors did in forming an evolving culture.

        I think this is very difficult in the 21st century. The US Military is to be praised for its excellent work in integrating high-IQ people of all races. However, the US Military is legally allowed to exclude low-IQ individuals of all races. I have personally known numerous US military men who have had little formal education but great practical wisdom and high IQs.

        People with low IQs are sometimes violent in ways that might be surprising to people with high IQs. People with high IQs often overestimate the IQs of other people. I fear that the military thinkers who believe integration will be easy are too optimistic because their IQs are very high.


        Puerto Rican Couple Yanked From Their Car and Shot By Mob of Black Men in Chicago

        A man was killed, and a woman was critically injured in a shooting Saturday night in Humboldt Park.

        There has been crickets in the media about this possible hate crime.

        The shooting took place as people were leaving Chicago’s 43rd Annual Puerto Rican People’s Day Parade, which people from all over the country and Puerto Rico travel to the city to attend.

        The victims had a large Puerto Rican flag waving from their car when they were approached by a mob of black men and pulled from the vehicle and shot.

        Police say the couple was “ambushed” by “up to three males.”

        ABC 7 reports that “the man was rushed to Saints Mary and Elizabeth Medical Center, where he was pronounced dead, police said. He has not been identified. The woman was struck in the neck and rushed to Stroger Hospital in critical condition, police said.”

        No arrests have been announced at this time.


        Here is a nightmare scenario: Suppose that the white gene pool continues shrinking, white women continue to avoid having white babies, and foreign-born unassimilated immigrants are the most enthusiastic force in the USA. Whites who warn of racial instability are “cancelled.” And then suppose the whites are too few to resist when the various nonwhite subgroups murder each other. Does this scenario seem far-fetched?

  10. Walt Jeffords says:

    A beige colored USA is a good thing if you don’t care for clean orderly societies where it’s safe to walk the streets at night and where things function well like power and communication grids. A beige colored USA is an hispanic USA and we have plenty of example of how well those work.

    • Pat Lang says:

      Walt Jeffords

      Complain all you like. The ending of this story is inevitable. Get busy and make these people Americans.

      • Eric Newhill says:

        Hence the battles in the school systems.

      • Anon says:

        Mr. Lang, I believe you are correct when you say “the ending of this story is inevitable.”

        But the inevitability lies not in the realization of some vigorous hybrid, but in conflict, separation, and devolution. A further inevitability is the makeup of the society that follows. The nations that rise from the ashes of failed heterogeneous experiments are distinctly homogeneous.

        Appeals to moribund civic nationalism cannot fix the problem and can no more “make these people Americans” than it could make them Japanese. This is doubly so in a political and social environment where stark divisions by race, ethnicity, and creed are assumed to be a social good by those commanding the culture and polity. They have a stranglehold on elite media, academia, government, and commerce, and express the deepest contempt and unalloyed hatred for the foundational American creed, and those who hold to it, reserving their greatest ire for those who count themselves as among the posterity of foundational American stock. They decry America’s very founding as irredeemably evil, denounce its Constitution as a fundamentally racist document, and anathemize its traditional heroes as bloodthirsty villains. How against such odds do you imagine we might “get busy” and make Americans out of an annual influx of immigrants, illegal and legal, upwards of a million persons each year?

        Mr. Lang, the civic nationalism you ascribe to and which was so deeply inculcated in your generation exists now only in myth and memory. And it is arguably how the current crisis was permitted to develop in the first place, as it was co-opted by those who sought to destroy the American nation and replace a republic of sovereign States largely populated by White Christians of Puritan, Cavalier, Quaker, and Scots-Irish ancestry with an empire led by a foreign, anti-Christian and anti-American elite. It is difficult to see how any ideology provides us a viable solution in a post-ideological age.

        To dismiss this reality with a “get busy” wave of the hand seems to me particularly cruel, especially from one such as yourself whose storied life is inexorably tied to American social structures and organizing principles long since gone. My apologies sir, but reading that line filled me with a distinct “OK Boomer” dread.

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