As already mentioned, the Russian leadership prefers to turn a blind eye to problems during the SMO, hoping that this will make the problems disappear. The leadership of Russia is moving into another reality (and the Republics are following it). Problems do not disappear, and then we hear amazing explanations for the slow pace of the offensive – “we are deliberately advancing so slowly so that fewer civilians die.”
The reality is that in the spring the Russian Federation killed all those forces with which were able to carry out large-scale encirclement operations. No encirclement operations, no decisive turning point in the course of war. I already wrote about it. The enemy will slowly retreat in those places where they will be pressed by the artillery powerfully enough, but they will retreat to prepared positions occupied by the reserves deployed. To “grind” their cheap infantry in this way without having enough of our own proper infantry can take a very long time and not bring much success.
As already mentioned, instead of the normal replenishment of currently fighting troops, a program has been launched to form new units “from scratch”. We will observe the slaughter of this wave of “volunteers” over Ukrainian positions, including the next three-month-old “BARS” [special reserve initiative in Russia] during the fall. With no mobilisation there will be no fully-fledged replenishment of troops. Are you forming new units in conditions of a general shortage of personnel and communications? They will initially turn out to be uncontrollable, roll out in dense columns to the front line and be wrecked by the enemy artillery and MLRS.
Well, the remnants of experienced infantry professionals are now being finished in completely wild conditions of further attempts to storm the Ukrainian positions around Donetsk.
If there will be no mobilisation in the Russian Federation – the frontline will not just stop, but will begin to slowly roll back in places in the opposite direction. To the sounds of “Kalibrs” flying over the heads of the ukrops somewhere into their rear.
This is a war to destroy Russia, no one will agree to any compromise peace, unless the very fact of its agreeing is included in the mechanism of a coup d’état in the Russian Federation. And this war, with excellent chances of winning our leadership has every chance of squander.
As for the texts, I will try to finish in the foreseeable future the text about communications, about why it does not exist, and I hope I will somehow have time to write about the drones that do not exist. And so in general there is nothing to argue about, there is nothing to prove. There are people who understand what kind of ass we are in, and people who have moved to another reality, with their information servants following them.
Comment: This is just an excerpt of an assessment of the state of Putin’s special military operation at the six month mark by Murz. It speaks more to conditions among the DNR and LNR militias. Of all the combatants in this conflict, these militias have suffered the most. In the LNR, what’s left of the militia no longer sees a need to continue the fight beyond the border of their republic. In response, Moscow has deployed units of the Rosgvardia to keep their brother republic in line.
Murz is Andrey Morozov, a Russian war blogger who was first inspired to travel to the Donbas by the early exploits of Igor Strelkov. He is a true believer in the cause of the Donbas republics. My opinion is that those republics are truly and royally screwed. The DNR and LNR never recovered from the devastation of the 2014 to 2015 fighting. The dedicated and competent rebel patriots were killed off first by Kyiv and then by Moscow. What was left has descended into a 1930s gulag. As Murz notes, the militias and militia aged males of the Donbas have been largely sacrificed to Putin’s SMO. No matter who wins the war, the Donbas republics have lost.